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  5. Anthropic Co-Founder Jack Clark Says Internal Model Forecasts AI Could Boost US GDP to $44T by 2030
AIMAG 7AI: Bullish
•
2026-10-17•2 min read

Anthropic Co-Founder Jack Clark Says Internal Model Forecasts AI Could Boost US GDP to $44T by 2030

Zubiqo Take
QuoteThreads

“Projecting nearly $14T in extra US GDP within four years while simultaneously asking global regulators for "unusual and serious rules" is the standard frontier lab playbook: pitch sovereign-scale economic upside that makes strict oversight feel too expensive to risk, while framing regulation on terms only the biggest labs can afford.”

Anthropic Co-Founder Jack Clark Says Internal Model Forecasts AI Could Boost US GDP to $44T by 2030
📷 Image Source: Reuters

Executive Summary

  • •Anthropic co-founder Jack Clark said an internal company economic model forecasts AI could expand US economic output to $44T by 2030.
  • •The $44T projection compares to current US economic output of just over $30T.
  • •Speaking at the IMF and World Bank meetings, Clark said reaching that scale would require new AI-driven industries and inventions alongside "unusual and serious rules" built through international cooperation.

Community Sentiment

1-Tap Vote

Key Developments & Data

Anthropic co-founder Jack Clark stated on Saturday that one of the company's internal economic models forecasts artificial intelligence could expand US economic output to $44T by 2030, compared to its current level of just over $30T. Speaking at the IMF and World Bank annual meetings in Bangkok, Clark acknowledged that the $44T projection "sounds very outlandish," noting it relies on AI accelerating scientific discovery alongside the creation of new industries and inventions. Clark added that rapidly advancing AI capabilities will drive faster change across all fields, alongside productivity shifts already reshaping internal tech workflows, and urged international cooperation to establish "unusual and serious rules" for the technology. "I know, but it's implicated by the technology continuing to get better. And if GDP were to grow this much, then economic doctrine suggests that new industries and inventions would need to have been created to power such a major economic expansion." — Jack Clark

Zubiqo Strategic Assessment

Primary Impact

Global macroeconomic policymakers, central bankers at the IMF and World Bank, and frontier AI laboratories evaluating long-term economic output and regulatory frameworks.

Strategic Shift

Frontier AI developers are increasingly pairing high-growth macroeconomic projections with explicit calls for international regulatory standards.

The Ripple Effect

Achieving the projected expansion to $44T by 2030 is explicitly conditioned on AI continuing to improve and driving scientific discoveries that create entirely new industries.

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#anthropic#jack clark#ai#gdp#imf
Read original on Reuters
Zubiqo MethodologyAI Synthesis

Synthesized from linked market reporting using AI extraction under Zubiqo's editorial standards. Have a correction? Contact our desk.

Event Magnitude7 / 10
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