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Search Intelligence

Results for: "prediction markets"(32 total found)

CFTC Classifies Prediction Markets as Federal 'Swaps' in Bid to Oust State Regulators
Regulation
1 day ago•2 min read

CFTC Classifies Prediction Markets as Federal 'Swaps' in Bid to Oust State Regulators

Zubiqo Take

“The CFTC is aggressively moving to classify prediction markets as federal commodities before state gambling regulators can litigate them out of existence, setting up an inevitable Supreme Court showdown.”

AI: BullishMag 8
Decrypt
Blockchain.com Seeks CFTC Derivatives Licenses Ahead of Planned $500M IPO
Crypto
2 days ago•2 min read

Blockchain.com Seeks CFTC Derivatives Licenses Ahead of Planned $500M IPO

Zubiqo Take

“Pitching a fully compliant, vertically integrated trading stack looks fantastic on an S-1 draft, but pending CFTC applications don't print actual revenue until they clear a crowded regulatory backlog.”

Mag 7
Crypto Briefing
Kalshi Expands Beyond Prediction Markets With US 500 Perpetual Futures
Finance
5 days ago•2 min read

Kalshi Expands Beyond Prediction Markets With US 500 Perpetual Futures

Zubiqo Take

“Election betting might generate temporary headlines, but launching perpetual futures on the US 500 is how prediction markets plan to extract long-term capital from retail traders.”

AI: BullishMag 7
CryptoBriefing
Prediction Markets Hit $188B as Kalshi Sports Betting Overtakes Polymarket
Crypto
5 days ago•2 min read

Prediction Markets Hit $188B as Kalshi Sports Betting Overtakes Polymarket

Zubiqo Take

“The decentralized forecasting revolution is just another unregulated casino where bots extract nine-figure losses from retail sports bettors.”

AI: BearishMag 8
BeInCrypto
CFTC Pushes White House to Classify Prediction Markets as Swaps Amid Kalshi Court Battles
Crypto
11 days ago•2 min read

CFTC Pushes White House to Classify Prediction Markets as Swaps Amid Kalshi Court Battles

Zubiqo Take

“Redefining event contracts as swaps is just the CFTC's aggressive land grab to control the booming prediction market sector before state gambling regulators fence it off completely.”

Mag 7
Unchained
NY Attorney General Letitia James Sues Polymarket in Escalating Prediction Market Crackdown
Crypto
17 days ago•2 min read

NY Attorney General Letitia James Sues Polymarket in Escalating Prediction Market Crackdown

Zubiqo Take

“Regulators aren't trying to understand decentralized information markets—they're just reclassifying them as bookies to protect the jurisdiction they're terrified of losing control over.”

AI: BearishMag 8
Wall Street Journal
Robinhood Pushes Prediction Markets to 28M Users via OG-com Deal Despite Legal Uncertainty
Finance
about 1 month ago•2 min read

Robinhood Pushes Prediction Markets to 28M Users via OG-com Deal Despite Legal Uncertainty

Zubiqo Take

“Robinhood is betting that by the time the Supreme Court finally figures out who is supposed to monitor prediction markets, the retail volume will already be too massive to unwind.”

Mag 7
Axios
Polymarket Launches 20x Perpetual Futures in Major Expansion Beyond Prediction Markets
Crypto
about 1 month ago•2 min read

Polymarket Launches 20x Perpetual Futures in Major Expansion Beyond Prediction Markets

Zubiqo Take

“The natural evolution of every crypto app is eventually becoming a 20x leverage casino to harvest liquidations.”

Mag 8
Decrypt
New Jersey Petitions Supreme Court to Block Kalshi’s State-Level Prediction Markets
Regulation
about 1 month ago•2 min read

New Jersey Petitions Supreme Court to Block Kalshi’s State-Level Prediction Markets

Zubiqo Take

“State gambling monopolies are finally realizing that federal financial regulators might actually let tech platforms eat their lunch.”

Mag 8
Cointelegraph
Federal Appeals Court Rules Prediction Markets Subject to State Gambling Laws
Regulation
about 1 month ago•2 min read

Federal Appeals Court Rules Prediction Markets Subject to State Gambling Laws

Zubiqo Take

“Labeling sports bets as financial derivatives doesn't stop state gaming regulators from protecting their tax revenue.”

AI: BearishMag 8
The New York Times
US Prepares Insider Trading Charges Over $1M Polymarket War Bets
Regulation
about 2 months ago•2 min read

US Prepares Insider Trading Charges Over $1M Polymarket War Bets

Zubiqo Take

“Giving military personnel access to real-time war markets was always going to turn classified clearance into an unfair trading edge.”

AI: BearishMag 8
Wall Street Journal
Prediction Markets Face 20-State Lawsuits as Donald Trump Jr. Lobbies AGs
Regulation
about 2 months ago•2 min read

Prediction Markets Face 20-State Lawsuits as Donald Trump Jr. Lobbies AGs

Zubiqo Take

“State AGs care far more about protecting state gambling tax revenue than listening to federal preemption arguments from political figures.”

AI: BearishMag 8
The New York Times
Kalshi Raises $1.12B in Private Equity Offering as Institutional Trading Surges
Finance
about 2 months ago•1 min read

Kalshi Raises $1.12B in Private Equity Offering as Institutional Trading Surges

Zubiqo Take

“Institutional capital is converting macro prediction markets into just another algorithmic hedging venue.”

AI: BullishMag 7
CryptoBriefing
Gemini Inks Apex Fintech Deal to Distribute Regulated Crypto Prediction Markets
Crypto
about 2 months ago•2 min read

Gemini Inks Apex Fintech Deal to Distribute Regulated Crypto Prediction Markets

Zubiqo Take

“Standalone consumer apps keep getting blocked by state regulators, so platforms are pushing prediction contracts into traditional brokerage pipes instead.”

AI: BullishMag 6
Cointelegraph
CFTC Probes 'Mention Markets' After Trump Teleprompter Betting Scandal
Crypto
about 2 months ago•2 min read

CFTC Probes 'Mention Markets' After Trump Teleprompter Betting Scandal

Zubiqo Take

“Betting on whether a sportscaster will say 'ankle' was always an insider trading speedrun waiting to happen.”

AI: BearishMag 8
NPR
Washington State Judge Orders Kalshi to Shut Down Most Prediction Markets
Regulation
about 2 months ago•2 min read

Washington State Judge Orders Kalshi to Shut Down Most Prediction Markets

Zubiqo Take

“State AGs are proving that federal oversight doesn't protect you from 130-year-old local gambling laws.”

AI: BearishMag 8
The New York Times
Baltimore Sues Polymarket, Kalshi, and Coinbase Over Illegal Sports Betting
Crypto
about 2 months ago•2 min read

Baltimore Sues Polymarket, Kalshi, and Coinbase Over Illegal Sports Betting

Zubiqo Take

“State governments are realizing how much gambling tax revenue they're losing to prediction markets and are finally bringing the hammer down.”

AI: BearishMag 8
Cointelegraph
Prediction Markets Trepa and Fireplace Shut Down as Kalshi and Polymarket Consume 93% of Volume
Crypto
2 months ago•2 min read

Prediction Markets Trepa and Fireplace Shut Down as Kalshi and Polymarket Consume 93% of Volume

Zubiqo Take

“Building a niche interface wrapper isn't a viable business model when two heavily funded giants already own all the liquidity.”

AI: BearishMag 5
The Defiant
DraftKings Misses Q2 Expectations as Prediction Markets Eat Into Sportsbook Revenue
Finance
2 months ago•1 min read

DraftKings Misses Q2 Expectations as Prediction Markets Eat Into Sportsbook Revenue

Zubiqo Take

“Paying millions for state-by-state gaming licenses doesn't work when consumers move to low-fee prediction rails.”

AI: BearishMag 7
CryptoBriefing
CFTC Facing Demands From US Senators to Ban Wildfire Prediction Markets
Regulation
2 months ago•1 min read

CFTC Facing Demands From US Senators to Ban Wildfire Prediction Markets

Zubiqo Take

“Regulators don't tolerate event markets that build financial incentives around real-world destruction.”

AI: BearishMag 7
Ars Technica
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